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To summarize, we believe that countries typically evolve through five stages of the cycle: 1) In the first stage In this stage they have very low incomes and most people have subsistence lifestyles, they don’t waste money because they value it a lot and they don’t have any debt to speak of because savings are short and nobody wants to lend to them. 2) In the second stage At this stage they behave pretty much the same as they did when they were in the prior stage but, because they have more money and still want to save, the amount of this saving and investment rises rapidly.Because they are typically the same people who experienced the more deprived conditions in the first stage, and because people who grew up with financial insecurity typically don’t lose their financial cautiousness, they still a) work hard, b) have export-led economies, c) have pegged exchange rates, d) save a lot, and e) invest efficiently in their means of production, in real assets like gold and apartments, and in bonds of the reserve countries.Get your facts straight douche bag before you come out with your familiar attack canard of "racist" anti-semite. I guess I am a racist/anti-semite for point this out though, right douche bag.please call me one so I can confirm your brainwashed, ignorant, feeble mind. the jew parasites move in to suck the blood out of the host as they always have.They will retire and change from purchasers to sellers of JGB's. The Japanese baby boom peaked about 10 years earlier than the US boom. They build infrastructure, & manufacture goods from the fruit of the land 3.So the US in 2025 might look a lot like Japan in 2015. They band together to create mutually beneficial co-ops 4.

The returns from his machine-like investment process clearly indicate he is on to something as he notes that the most powerful influences of this relative income (and power) are 1) the psychology that drives people’s desires to work, borrow and consume and 2) war (which we measure in the “luck” gauge). He goes on to add that since different experiences lead to different psychological biases that lead to different experiences, etc., certain common cause-effect linkages drive the typical cycle of a nation's growth, power and influence.Because their spending continues to be strong, they continue to appear rich, even though their balance sheets deteriorate.The reduced level of efficient investments in infrastructure, capital goods and R&D slow their productivity gains.This change in the prevailing psychology occurs primarily because a new generation of people who did not experience the bad times replaces those who lived through them.Signs of this change in mindset are reflected in statistics that show reduced work hours (e.g., typically there is a reduction in the average workweek from six days to five) and big increases in expenditures on leisure and luxury goods relative to necessities.

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